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Why The Future Doesn't Need Us
Atec Февраль 29 2008 20:16:19


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7 Kauffman, Stuart. "Self-replication: Even Peptides Do It." Nature, 382, August 8, 1996: 496.
Seewww.santafe.edu/sfi/People/kauffman/sak-peptides.html.

8 Else, Jon.The Day After Trinity: J. Robert Oppenheimer and The Atomic Bomb (available at
www.pyramiddirect.com).

9 This estimate is in Leslie's bookThe End of the World: The Science and Ethics of Human Extinction,
where he notes that the probability of extinction is substantially higher if we accept Brandon Carter's
Doomsday Argument, which is, briefly, that "we ought to have some reluctance to believe that we are
very exceptionally early, for instance in the earliest 0.001 percent, among all humans who will ever
have lived. This would be some reason for thinking that humankind will not survive for many more
centuries, let alone colonize the galaxy. Carter's doomsday argument doesn't generate any risk
estimates just by itself. It is an argument forrevising the estimates which we generate when we
consider various possible dangers." (Routledge, 1996: 1, 3, 145.)

10 Clarke, Arthur C. "Presidents, Experts, and Asteroids."Science, June 5, 1998. Reprinted as "Science
and Society" inGreetings, Carbon-Based Bipeds! Collected Essays, 1934-1998. St. Martin's Press,
1999: 526.

11 And, as David Forrest suggests in his paper "Regulating Nanotechnology Development," available
atwww.foresight.org/NanoRev/Forrest1989.html, "If we used strict liability as an alternative to
regulation it would be impossible for any developer to internalize the cost of the risk (destruction of
the biosphere), so theoretically the activity of developing nanotechnology should never be
undertaken

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