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. These combinations open up the
opportunity to completely redesign the world, for better or worse: The replicating
and evolving processes that have been confined to the natural world are about to
become realms of human endeavor.
In designing software and microprocessors, I have never had the feeling that I
was designing an intelligent machine. The software and hardware is so fragile and
the capabilities of the machine to "think" so clearly absent that, even as a
possibility, this has always seemed very far in the future.
But now, with the prospect of human-level computing power in about 30 years, a
new idea suggests itself: that I may be working to create tools which will enable
the construction of the technology that may replace our species. How do I feel
about this? Very uncomfortable. Having struggled my entire career to build
reliable software systems, it seems to me more than likely that this future will
not work out as well as some people may imagine. My personal experience
suggests we tend to overestimate our design abilities.
Given the incredible power of these new technologies, shouldn't we be asking how
we can best coexist with them? And if our own extinction is a likely, or even
possible, outcome of our technological development, shouldn't we proceed with
great caution?
The dream of robotics is, first, that intelligent machines can do our work for us,
allowing us lives of leisure, restoring us to Eden
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